Why I’m Not Voting in the Primary

I am not going to vote in the Democratic primary and it isn’t just because I am not a registered Democrat. I really don’t care who the Democrats nominate because I am going to have to vote for whomever the Democrats get around to nominating…but I am not going to like it.

Like Jimmy Carter said, Sanders is too old. Biden is a mistake waiting to happen. Warren is a mistake that has already happened. Mayor Pete can’t buy a clue. Bloomberg is a late bloomer who never pisses and never gets off the pot. Please do not mention Hillary ever again. The rest of the also-rans were also-rans from the moment they started running.

There’s this thing about running for president that some people just don’t understand. Most of the people who run for president don’t really want to be president. They are positioning themselves for a either a cabinet post or a run for a lesser position and, in the meantime, they get to live high off the hog on other people’s money.

That about sums it up. As I have said before, anyone who is smart enough to be president is too smart to want the job, so it stands to reason that the people who run are too stupid to realize how stupid it is to run for president.

I also think you’re nuts to think that we have any say in the matter of whom the Democrats nominate. They proved that in 2016. I don’t need to learn the same lesson twice.

I don’t think it matters whom the Democrats nominate because my analysis of the statistics tells me that Trump already has the election sewn up in the Electoral College. Just add up the electoral votes where the Republicans control both houses of the state legislature, which is a strong indicator of which way the voters in that state are going to vote in the presidential contest.

The Democrats made an unavoidable blunder when they initiated the impeachment proceedings against Trump. They had no choice. They had to do it, even though Pelosi knew it was a mistake.

Trump is not going to be convicted on a bill of impeachment in the Senate…and it’s not because the Democrats don’t have the evidence. The evidence doesn’t matter. What the Senate will not do is create a precedent of removing a president from office for any reason. It isn’t even going to be close. Besides, the Democrats don’t have the votes, and you’re not going to find 20-odd (and sometimes very odd) Republicans to commit political suicide by voting to impeach their lord and master. Those people don’t exist any more.

This gets down to a very simple problem: if the Senate were to convict Donald Trump and remove him from office, it will trigger two separate constitutional crises.

The first crisis will be the question of how to remove an impeached president who refuses to leave. In case you don’t recall, there was some question in 2016 about whether Trump would “abide” by the results of that election. There is reason to question whether Trump would actually give up the office if he is impeached and an even bigger question of what do we do if he doesn’t leave of his own accord.

The second constitutional crisis would be having an impeached president running for re-election. The constitution is silent on this issue. There is no question that the Republican party will renominate Trump. No one else wants to fight him for the job.

Those of you who are still holding out for the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact need to face reality. The NPV movement has stalled with a total of 196 electoral votes, which is 74 votes short of the number required by the Compact.

There is no combination of states in this legislative session where the Democrats control both houses of the state legislature and the governor’s office that total up to the 74 electoral votes required for the Compact to take effect…except for those states that have already approved the Compact. (This doesn’t really matter, because the NPV would be struck down as unconstitutional by the Roberts’ Court, which is really the Trump Court.)

Even if none of those statements were true, it would still remain true that there isn’t enough time between now and election day to get the requisite number of states to sign up for the Compact, so it is a moot point for 2020.

Therefore, the electoral college will continue to decide who becomes president and, based on the states currently controlled by the Republican party, it is very likely that Donald Trump will be re-elected.

I am not being defeatist. We were defeated a long time ago, when we stopped concentrating on grassroots campaigns for the state legislatures because that’s where the real power is concentrated in these so-called United States.

If you think some amazing revelation is going to turn the tide against Trump, think again. Those amazing revelations have already been revealed and they have achieved exactly nothing.

I know some of you will have well-reasoned arguments against my contentions. Please, be my guest. Misery really doesn’t love company.

You have a great day now, you hear?

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