The Biggest October Surprise Ever

Now that DJT has contracted COVID-19, reality has taken some strange twists. If DJT becomes incapacitated, he would have to turn the presidency over to Pence, who would become acting president,…unless or until Pence comes down with it. At that point, Nancy Pelosi becomes Acting President. This would give her the power to rescind all of Trump’s executive orders and withdraw his Supreme Court nomination. so we know that the Republicans will move heaven and earth to prevent that from happening.

SHOULD WE POSTPONE THE ELECTION?

If he really is sick, and that sickness becomes disabling,  it is feasible that Trump might demand that we postpone the election because he is not going to be able to campaign. After all,, he has already said that he wants a  “Mulligan” on his first term because the media and the Democrats have been so mean to him.

There is no mechanism other than a declared national emergency that would allow the postponement of a presidential election, and Trump’s incapacitation doesn’t constitute an emergency for anyone other than Donald Trump unless he tries to make the case that the epidemic is so devastating that the election can’t be held. That would wind up in the Supreme Court, but it would probably wind up there BEFORE Trump’s third nominee is seated if that ever actually happens.

IS HE FAKING IT?

Another argument has surfaced, suggesting that he isn’t sick at all.  that this a ploy to offset his dismal debate performance and falling poll numbers, and that he will emerge victorious in a few days having received a secret new treatment that no one knew about….or some combination of treatments that we do know about but are not usually given.
Trump loves to go out on the campaign trail. He loves rallies and fundraisers. He is addicted to the adulation. It is hard to imagine him voluntarily giving that up. It is also hard to imagine him giving up two more presidential debates…unless he realizes that he can’t beat Biden in a fairly moderated debate and was looking for a way out of debates two and three.
The “miraculous recovery” gambit won’t fly because he would have to answer a few embarrassing questions, no, even more embarrassing than the questions he usually dodges.
  • How did he get a miraculous new treatment we didn’t know anything about?
  • Why did he take a treatment that does not have FDA approval?\
  • Why did he receive a treatment no one else is getting?
  • Why isn’t anyone else getting the treatment he got?

WHAT HAPPENS IF DJT DIES BEFORE THE ELECTION?

At this point, it is too late for the Republican party to hold a new convention, with new primaries, to select a new presidential candidate. The Republican National Committee would nominate a replacement for DJT, but Donald Trump would remain on the ballot. During the Electoral College process, the Electors who were pledged to Donald Trump would be asked to cast their votes for the new candidate, regardless of Faithless Elector laws in various states.
If the Republicans win the electoral college vote, but the Electors cannot agree on a replacement candidate, the election gets thrown into The House of Representatives, where each state gets one vote. The Republicans control 26 Congressional delegations and will therefore be able to appoint the Republican candidate who replaces Trunp as the next president.
This is the precise situation for which the Electoral College was conceived, and the reason why we really can’t do without it unless we pass a Constitutional amendment mandating that the popular vote determines the winner in presidential races.
Don’t hold your breath on that one.

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